The pair did see many short attempts to recover ground each of which failed miserably and was commonly referred to as dead cat bounce scenario. Now that bitcoin has found a bottom to its bearish rally which began in early third quarter of FY 2018-19 and bitcoin is finding increasing acceptance as valid financial instrument in various governments across globe news driven momentum. This article was originally posted on FX Empire. The President of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Jay Clayton stated at the end of last November, I want to see better market surveillance and custody for digital currencies before being comfortable with a crypto ETF. In the last three days, Bitcoin has emerged from the lows and is now testing price levels near 4000 which is close to 25 increase in value compared to December lows. Due to regulatory approval issues, Bitcoin futures which was backed by ICE Futures.S., the parent company of nyse and was supposed to hit market on December has been postponed to January which is one of the key events. If the futures hit market via ICEs Bakkt cryptocurrency platform this month it could change the entire playing field of bitcoin market as it will bring huge volume and fund flow from retail institutional investors greatly changing price dynamics of Crypto currencys progenitor. This event could even serve as a factor that will trigger bullish rally in BTC/USD pair to reclaim 6000 levels. . While the tentative date for said event is January 24, 2019 there is no conclusive evidence that said product will hit market on schedule and could get postponed further as cftc Commodity Futures Trading Commission regulators are hesitant to approve. On the other hand as long as BTC/USD pair remains trapped below 4000 mark Bitcoins will continue to see range bound price action. The people in charge of the exchanges have understood correctly the necessity to guarantee the investments of their clients and as there is no urgency to approve products that does not meet said requirement, bitcoin ETFs and future contracts.
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The first two weeks didnt see any major changes to bears grip on market and investor sentiment resulting in Bitcoin continuing to hit new 2018 lows with each passing session. Meanwhile 4000 serves as intermittent resistance level which if breached by a sustained rally could see pair make significant headwinds in market. Crypto markets expressed a relatively solid performance during the month of December 2018 when compared to price action from earlier months. Bitcoin now has strong support and resistance on fundamental level at 3000 6000 respectively. Bitcoin continued to decline in early December hitting in lows, however fund flow on hopes of year end rally and possible fund flow from Institutional investors on expectations of new bitcoin ETF hitting markets helped stage some solid recovery. In case of theft, the unwritten rule is to replace what has been stolen in customers accounts, but crypto market doesnt offer such a kind of security measure hindering market progress significantly. In the year that should bitcoin 1 januari 2019 have been the institutionalization of investments in Bitcoins, up to 9 proposals for the launch of ETFs have been rejected as regulatory authorities have deemed bitcoin related futures and ETFs as assets which do not offer sufficient. The rapid advances in super computing make it easier every day to decipher secure keys, so the work of all those responsible for security is going to be crucial to try to eradicate these attacks. In order for crypto markets to improve and recover from last years losses security measures require significant upgrades. A clear lack of fundamental support caused Bitcoin to move as low as 3169.53 however investors expectations for possible year end rally and fund flow from institutional investors over Bitcoin futures which should have began near Christmas helped bitcoin. Security Concerns Caused Delay in Approval of BTC Futures Which Limited Upside Move. After a year long correction which saw Bitcoin sustain loss of market capital worth several hundred billion US dollars, the next twelve months will be decisive for the long-term future of Bitcoin. Price action in December has high affinity to fundamental and technical analysis and was in line with market analysis forecasts when compared to previous months which saw crypto currencies trade on news and event driven momentum.
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